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China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.Ukrainian energy company DTEK: Russia caused "serious damage" to the thermal power plant in the attack on energy in the morning local time.

On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.

South Korean police said on the 13th that they were considering detaining and searching the correspondence records of President Yin Xiyue and the presidential residence. (Xinhua News Agency)Pan Xuan, Beijing Local Financial Administration: The total investable assets of households in Beijing's wealth management market are about 16 trillion yuan. Pan Xuan, deputy director of Beijing Local Financial Administration, pointed out in the global wealth management forum today that Beijing's wealth management industry has good basic conditions, huge market potential and strong demand, and has unique advantages in developing wealth management industry. Among them, on the supply side, the asset management scale of institutions such as bank wealth management, insurance asset management, Public Offering of Fund, private equity funds, trusts and brokerage asset management in Beijing exceeds 30 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 30% of the country; At the same time, the scale of private equity and venture capital management is also the first in the country. On the demand side, the total investable assets of households in Beijing are about 16 trillion yuan, and the number of high-net-worth families, ultra-high-net-worth families and international ultra-high-net-worth families ranks first in the country.The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.